Australian Open 2023 – Djokovic vs. De Minaur –

Melbourne Australia — Novak Djokovic He paused his service routine and started vigorously extending his left leg. He has simply seven factors left to wrap up his third spherical match on the Australian Open Grigor DimitrovHowever he was clearly in ache.

Djokovic’s left hamstring has prompted him grief throughout his first week right here in Melbourne. His mobility and mobility had been hampered, but he gave up only one set en path to the final 16 whereas chasing a record-equalling twenty second main title.

His run proved eerily just like what occurred in 2021, when he nursed a slash tear to his ninth Australian Open crown.

On Monday evening, Djokovic will face Australian hopeful and twenty second seed Alex de Minor —who equaled his greatest residence slam consequence with a third-round victory over the Frenchman Benjamin Ponzi – for a spot within the quarter-finals.

Djokovic and De Minaur have by no means met in skilled competitors. The primary encounter, scheduled to happen in prime time at Rod Laver Area, is ready to be a stellar showdown.

“Taking part in in entrance of you guys, I do not know what number of of you can be on my aspect,” Djokovic joked to the group after his victory over Dimitrov. “It’ll be nice, I am positive, and I am trying ahead to it.”

Why would Novak Djokovic win?

Djokovic doesn’t lose at Rod Laver Area. Scratch that, he is not shedding in Australia. The 35-year-old celebrity has received 37 consecutive singles matches on Australian soil, together with three consecutive Australian Open titles between 2019 and 2021.

He thrives in circumstances and handles strain higher than anybody else, giving him an enormous edge over de Minaur, who performed simply 5 home-court video games within the slam dunk to a 3-2 report.

Regardless of a hamstring concern and taking part in far under his devastating greatest, Djokovic has managed to lift his bar in key moments at this event – an indicator of his profession. after France Enzo Quacode Tied at one set within the second spherical, Djokovic staggered 12 of his subsequent 14 matches to run away with the match.

The final outing towards Dimitrov, Djokovic performed his greatest tennis within the first set tie-break, earlier than taking a number of break alternatives later within the match.

Djokovic might additionally profit from De Minaur’s serve, which has let him down up to now on this event. De Minaur received some low-cost factors with him, scoring simply 21 aces over his first three matches, and managing to serve his first serve solely 58% of the time. Injured or not, Djokovic will punish him if he would not enhance on the sector.

And do not underestimate the psychological aspect of this sport. It have to be irritating for any participant, not to mention these within the high 30 – like Dimitrov – to throw the whole lot at an injured Djokovic and nonetheless fail to win a set.

Why Alex de Minor would win

If Djokovic can draft a fourth-round opponent, De Minaur will possible be on the backside of his listing.

It is no secret that Djokovic would not transfer as freely as he’d like or as we would anticipate, so dealing with an opponent who thinks he is “the quickest participant on tour” might be a major check of his physique.

De Minaur’s sport just isn’t fully completely different from Djokovic’s, constructed on protection and the power to drive his opponent to play the shot and discover a well past. He’s a really disciplined participant and won’t make many errors. Via his three matches, de Minaur’s opponents have dedicated 49 extra unforced errors than he has.

Djokovic hasn’t persistently hit the ball as rapidly this fortnight, which means discovering winners towards De Minaur will possible be a problem. If he begins to battle along with his hamstring and appears to drive the problem, that might play into the arms of the Aussie.

“I am simply going to must take it to him and I am not going to draw back from the event,” De Minaur stated earlier than the encounter. “I am going to verify I make it as laborious as I can. I am not going to learn a lot about that harm.”

Whereas Djokovic has eluded Dimitrov, De Minaur can have the group firmly in his nook. The 23-year-old is the final remaining particular person hope for the Australian staff at this yr’s event.

What’s going to occur?

Taking over Djokovic in Melbourne, regardless of how injured he could also be, is a idiot’s errand. His profession report on the Australian Open is 85-8, which highlights simply how troublesome it’s to beat him on the blue Plexiglas cushion. Nonetheless, De Minaur won’t be simple, and he’s adequate to make his personal. Djokovic to win 4.

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